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FTX Risk Assessment

Harnessing Alternative Data for Smarter Financial Decision-Making

Background

Despite its multi-billion-dollar valuation and strong public perception, FTX’s underlying fundamentals showed weaknesses that were overlooked by mainstream analysts. While investor confidence remained high, our team sought to uncover discrepancies between FTX’s perceived market position and its actual user engagement data.

Approach

bridge_ci conducted a data-driven risk assessment of FTX using alternative data sources, including web traffic patterns, search interest, and competitive benchmarks. By analyzing digital engagement metrics alongside traditional financial indicators, we identified early warning signs of instability before the exchange’s collapse.

Findings

FTX lagged behind competitors in key engagement metrics, including web traffic and organic search interest.

Declining user activity signaled potential liquidity issues, contradicting public narratives of strong market positioning.

Clear misalignment between valuation and real market traction, exposing a high-risk financial structure.

Impact

Our findings provided an early warning signal that could have helped investors and institutions mitigate billions in losses. This case underscores the power of alternative data analysis in risk detection, demonstrating how financial decision-makers can identify vulnerabilities before they escalate into crises.

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Harnessing Alternative Data for Smarter Financial Decision-Making